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    We have David Baines of the Vancouver Sun to thank for a new story on mining investment gone bad.  We use this case history to formulate another Investment Rule:  Do not buy shares in a mining company controlled by one man.

Over thirty-three years ago, Ross Stanfield founded Gallowai Metal Mining Corp and Bul River Minerals Corp.  He is the chairman of both companies and owns all the voting stock.  Nothing wrong with that: he founded the company and now owns and controls it.  Except that over those thirty-three years, he has sold more than $220 million worth of non-voting shares to 3,765 investors, mainly from Alberta.  Nothing wrong with that either: you are entitled to purchase non-voting shares if you consider it a reasonable investment.  Except that over those same thirty-three years, no mining has been undertaken and no dividends paid.  At least it is not a Ponzi scheme!

Enter a former Lutheran minister and sometime shareholder of non-voting shares.  By 2007 he was getting impatient.  He convened some other impatient holders of non-voting shares.  They no doubt muttered and grumbled.  Now they have applied to the British Columbia Supreme Court asking that Ross Stanfield be removed, that new directors be appointed, or that the court appoint a receiver manager to run the company, or that Mr Stanfield be forced to buy or redeem their shares. 

At the first hearing the Judge simply said: “NO.  Come back on Wednesday.”

David Baines explains the Judge’s NO thus:

Judge Peter Leask, while asserting he has no “preliminary views” on the merits of the petition, said he intends to approach the case “on the basis of the least remedy that will solve the problem.  I’m not immediately attracted to the idea of removing Mr. Stanfield, only for that reason.”

It is hard to have any sympathy for the nearly four thousand investors who sit staring at an old man (Stanfield is 81), a property that will never be a mine, a Judge who won’t act as they desire, and a pile of worthless non-voting shares.   In the news reports they are described as:  all successful business men or professionals from Edmonton.   We must hope they have been more prudent in their business and professional lives than they have been in this investment.  Or maybe they have been so successful that they could afford to invest over $220 million for thirty years and more for no return and no action. 

   The unrewarded investors must include a cast of characters.  I particularly enjoyed the part about Stanfield counter claiming that one of the petitioners had been authorized to take three tons of rock from the prospective mine to landscape his yard, but had “actually taken more.”  Seems the only mining going on at the property was by non-voting shareholders landscaping their back yards. 

This is a funny story of folk who fraud one another, make stupid investment decisions, and then resort to the courts with a fervor that would make Charles Dickens proud.  That is unless you consider that the law that governs such situation is all wrong and the regulators all inactive.  David Baines discusses the problems at this link. 

What is boils down to is:  how many investors should be allowed to invest in a private company before the security regulators should step in and protect them as a group?  Seems obvious that if four sophisticated investors choose to pool their funds to develop a property without going public, they should be allowed to.  But should 40, 400, or 4,000 private investors be allowed to pool and stay private with no securities oversight?  It is easy to envisage four savvy investors around a table in an expensive restaurant in Edmonton.  It is difficult to envisage 400 savy investors in one place anywhere.  The idea that 4,000 smart people exist in the business and professional circles of Edmonton is feasible, but disproved by this case. 

We will watch as this case unfolds–although the end will probably be a whimper.  For in reality there is no mine, no money, and no young muscle to mine.  There are only 4,000 investors who were unwise. 

  Design is the art of applying the principles of science in formulating practical solutions to real-life problems. Design is the act of coming up with a cost-effective way to build and operate a physical structure, whether it be a bridge, a building, a tailings impoundment, a heap leach pad, or an access road to the new mine.  Design is an act of creation; a good design comes seemingly out of nowhere; yet a good design comes from everywhere, being a reflection of past practice, knowledge, understanding, calculation, perspiration, inspiration, and judgment.  Continue Reading »

   If you invest in mining stocks by the numbers and trends, you must read the article in the October 12, 2009 New Yorker.  The article is called The Secret Cycle.  I provide a copy of the summary of the article at the end of this posting. The complete article is at this link

  The story is that of Martin Armstrong.  He concocted a theory of economic cycles and used his theory to grow rich investing in gold.  That is until he was imprisoned for running a Ponzi scheme.  Still in prison, he writes long articles on the cycles that “govern” investing.  You can read most at his website at this link.  A bizarre collection of ideas.

The funny thing is many in mining and investing believe in cycles.  Recall Douglas B Silver and his Super Cycle that graced the pages of the SME magazine and conference last year–before the economy changed.  I remarked on all this in a previous posting

After the past few months, can anybody still be a believer in mining cycles?  We will have to come up with new theories to explain what drives mining and investing.  I write about my theories at this link: it boils down to managerial and technical competence and incompetence.

Here is the summary from the New Yorker site of the article on investment cycles: Continue Reading »

  Idle travel has me in Elko, Nevada after two days in Reno. Reno is ringed with hills that you spy vaguely through the look-alike office buildings sprouting in impossible green lawns and standard nursery flower beds.  In Elko the mountains dominate the landscape and thankfully there are no artificial lawn and flower beds.  This is the honest center of farming, ranching, mining, and gamblers fleeing Utah.  Continue Reading »

   

I am currently involved in a project in the oil sands that involves geogrids.   Recalling days long ago, I wrote the following today to recount my experience.   Continue Reading »

   A true story.  A young mining engineer asked his consultant: “Why are you so worried about putting your professional engineering stamp to this design? ” The crusty old consultant snarled back: “Because if the structure fails, the shareholders could sue the mine, you, and me.”   I interjected that there are class action law suites pending against those involved in Galore Creek and Bellavista.  This brought silence to the room.  The young mining engineer agreed to the necessary testing and analysis. Continue Reading »

  Last I was in Edmonton, my host exclaimed loudly when his Blackberry told him the ERCB were going to have on their website all the documents submitted to tell how oil sand companies will reclaim and close their tailings impoundments.  That promised to be a signal day in the history of tailings impoundment closure and regulatory Continue Reading »

  Does ICMM have a comment on Vedanta and their mining practices in India?   Namely planning to cut down the trees that are sacred to the local tribe and then proceed to mine?   Now the British Government has told British-registered mining company Vedanta, owned by an Indian national turned Brit, that they have been behaving badly.  Continue Reading »

   It is Canadian Thanksgiving day and USA Columbus day.  Let us indulge then in one of the stranger blog postings of the past week on mining.  The crux of the story is the find of many mummies in Chile–all dead from mercury poisoning. Continue Reading »

  A week of flights and meetings: Vancouver to Fort McMurray to Edmonton to YVR.  Long discussions around tables and papers flying fast and furious.  We argued how to cap an oil sands tailings impoundment.  We were held up by arcane arguments about strength, density, analytical method, material purchase, equipment selection, and the opinions of the local regulators—all of whom seem to think we are doing something new.  Continue Reading »

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